Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.035454 0.041586 0.047938 0.054971 0.062506 0.070304 0.078951
2025-12-14 0.027115 0.035995 0.045732 0.057031 0.069630 0.083115 0.098516
2025-12-21 0.021031 0.031406 0.043381 0.057823 0.074428 0.092640 0.113864
2025-12-28 0.018655 0.030518 0.044737 0.062348 0.083006 0.106011 0.133151
2026-01-04 0.014062 0.026138 0.041363 0.060855 0.084272 0.110808 0.142545
2026-01-11 0.011498 0.023955 0.040352 0.061899 0.088254 0.118504 0.155037
2026-01-18 0.009147 0.021670 0.038924 0.062200 0.091166 0.124812 0.165809
2026-01-25 0.007345 0.019871 0.037920 0.062861 0.094375 0.131359 0.176764
2026-02-01 0.005681 0.017966 0.036566 0.062916 0.096719 0.136789 0.186338
2026-02-08 0.003705 0.015019 0.033438 0.060421 0.095721 0.138094 0.190960
2026-02-15 0.002508 0.013143 0.031663 0.059574 0.096673 0.141650 0.198154
2026-02-22 0.001865 0.012224 0.031244 0.060506 0.099839 0.147850 0.208449
2026-03-01 0.001355 0.011475 0.031107 0.061922 0.103778 0.155195 0.220372
2026-03-08 0.001042 0.011136 0.031612 0.064249 0.108932 0.164077 0.234201
2026-03-15 0.000646 0.010266 0.031134 0.065117 0.112145 0.170551 0.245133
2026-03-22 0.000665 0.010945 0.033363 0.069930 0.120575 0.183501 0.263881
2026-03-29 0.000235 0.009269 0.031281 0.068347 0.120471 0.185807 0.269751
2026-04-05 0.000097 0.008660 0.031052 0.069455 0.123923 0.192524 0.280941
2026-04-12 0.000012 0.007842 0.030335 0.069775 0.126279 0.197844 0.290415
2026-04-19 NaN 0.007208 0.029896 0.070477 0.129123 0.203758 0.300599
2026-04-26 NaN 0.006437 0.029077 0.070534 0.131052 0.208489 0.309315
2026-05-03 NaN 0.005018 0.026623 0.067885 0.129162 0.208292 0.311920
2026-05-10 NaN 0.004189 0.025320 0.066985 0.129639 0.211074 0.318154